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STOCK
MARKETS
Just
as people choose food and clothes according to personal tastes, some
people take investment decisions like buying stocks or mutual funds by
styles.
"Growth" and "value" are
two of the most popular investment styles in investing.
Warren Buffett, John Templeton and other value
investing legends built huge fortunes by never overplaying in the stock
market.
There are always opportunities to pick
stocks that have fallen in price which might become the equivalent of
"cut price specials" or "value stocks".
Conversely, growth stocks always have
takers. Everyone wants to own "growth stocks" that keep
increasing in price. Growth and value fundamental investment
approaches have been the subject of significant research.
How do you identify growth and value stocks?
While earnings of some companies may be low during periods of slower
economic growth, growth companies seek to achieve better earnings growth
regardless of economic conditions.
Value stocks are those that generally have fallen out of favour and are
considered bargain-priced compared with book value, replacement value or
liquidation value. Typically, value stocks are priced much lower than
stocks of similar companies in the same industry. The value group may also
include stocks of new companies that have not been recognised by
investors.
Some of the valuation measures
in the two categories are listed below:
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Valuation
measure
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Growth
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Value
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Dividend
yield
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Lower
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Higher
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Price/Earnings
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Higher
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Lower
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Price/Book
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Higher
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Lower
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Price/Net
tangible assets
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Higher
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Lower
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Price/Sales
or cash flow
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Higher
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Lower
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The
primary measures used to define growth and value stocks were the
price-to-earnings ratio (the price of a stock divided by the current
year’s earnings per share) and the price-to-book ratio (share price
divided by book value per share).
Growth stocks usually have high price-to-earnings and price-to-book
ratios, which means that these stocks are relatively high-priced in
comparison with the companies’ net asset values. In contrast, value
stocks have relatively low price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios.
While earnings growth was used to decide the growth parameter, dividend
yield was used to shortlist value stocks. Current ratio - a good parameter
to decide the liquidity of the company by calculating the ratio between
current assets and current liabilities, was also used to filter stocks
initially.
The analysis was based on the parameters shown in the table below.
|
Criteria
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Value
stocks
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Growth
stocks
|
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Price/Earnings
ratio
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A)
P/E < 15 (much less than P/E of the indices)
B) P/B < 3.9 (less than P/B of the indices)
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P/E
and P/B may higher than market average but not more than 40 and 10
respectively;
EPS > Rs 10
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Other
ratios
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A)
Current ratio > 2
B)Price to sales ratio < Market average
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A)
Current ratio > 2
B) Debt/Equity < 1
C) ROE > 15%
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Earnings
growth
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Some
growth
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3-yr
earnings growth > 25% CAGR
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Dividend
yield
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Yield>
1.6 (higher than market average)
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Any
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Earnings
stability
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No
deficit for the last 3 years
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Stable
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Which
style is better?
The debate between growth and value investing has been going on for years,
with each side offering statistics to support its arguments.
Both styles have their positives and negatives and make different demands
on investment research.
However, a truly diversified portfolio has both value and growth stocks.
If you find only one kind in your holdings, consider the benefits of
diversification.
Most growth investors are willing to pay a fairly high price for a stock
whose earnings they expect to blow up. They aren't completely insensitive
to price, but the question of whether a stock is cheap or expensive isn't
the paramount question for them. The crucial question is what earnings
will be in two to five years.
Value investors, on the other hand, view cheapness as a major virtue. They
focus on stocks that are cheap. Just as growth investors aren't totally
insensitive to price, they aren't completely indifferent to earnings
progress. However, they're willing to sacrifice some earnings growth for
the sake of cheapness.
One last important point to remember is that in value investing, correct
stock valuation as well as the right time of entry is very critical.
While, in growth investing, it is essential to identify businesses that
face little or no threat of erosion so that earnings growth of those
companies is not impacted.
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